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洛阳房地产市场2015年半年度市场监测报告-九游会ag老哥俱乐部入口

洛阳房天下   2015-07-20 19:44

[摘要] 2015年的这6个月洛阳楼市过得有些“捉急”，促销、刚需还有股民串起了洛阳上半年楼市的主旋律。虽然上半年楼市利好政策不断，连续降准降息，降低二套房首付，构建宽松的金融信贷环境，减轻购房压力，提升消费能力。一二线城市也不断传来楼市回升，价格反弹的讯息，甚至还有深圳楼市一夜 ，日光抢楼的火爆局面。

 三、上半年洛阳房地产市场供应概况分析

1、洛阳房地产整体供应情况

（1）1-6月房地产整体供应趋势

数据来源：和利时统计房管局公布相关数据

6月份洛阳商品房供应面积43.7万平方米，整体套数3983套，环比分别增加9.83%和39.41%，同比分别下降15.00%和5.37%，其中供应面积39.17万平方米，供应套数3695套，环比分别大幅增加34.88%和56.50%，同比分别上涨19.90%和34.51%；非住宅供应面积4.53万平方米，供应套数288套，环比分别大幅减少57.86%和41.94%，同比分别大幅下降75.83%和80.30%。

从供应情况来看，供应高点在5月和6月，经过一系列政策的出台和落地实施及半年的库存消化，市场的基本面得以改观，同时随着楼市的暖风渐渐袭来，因此部分项目借此时机加紧了步入市场的脚步。

（2）上半年房地产整体供应趋势

数据来源：和利时统计房管局公布相关数据

 

 

2015年上半年全市商品房供应面积219.81万平方米，比2014年上半年下降18.54%，整体供应套数17866套，比2014年上半年下降32.33%，其中供应面积141万平方米，供应套数12223套，比2014年上半年分别下降18.542.33%，非住宅供应面积78.81万平方米，供应套数5643套，比2014年上半年分别下降11.45%和48.38%。

2、预售许可证批准情况一览

（1）2015年1-6月份各区域预售许可证批准概况

从预售证显示数据来看，洛龙区依然蝉联桂冠，经开区和高新区其次，但现实中感觉，今年上半年涧西区、高新区、西工区、老城瀍河区、经开区等区域都在跃跃欲试的要将洛龙区的龙冠摘掉，如今年上半年涌现的项目，如涧西区：中弘 广场、正商城；高新区：美景九悦山、瀛海19城、繁华城、建业•华阳峰渡、中南广场；西工区： 万象、和昌 城邦、中迈上阳城、汉德•九州城；老城瀍河区：升龙天玺、君河湾、恒大绿洲、美居乐广场、香榭丽畔山兰溪、香榭丽舍、和园；经开区：英和紫悦府、东陌映像、开元壹号等项目，各路大军可谓是兵强马壮，随着市场的逐渐回升，各路大军群起纷争，中原大地或将再次燃气熊熊战火。

3、2015年上半年开盘项目一览

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rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; height: 15pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" height="20" width="79">5月24日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">君河湾rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">8#rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">329rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">60rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">108-144㎡
rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; height: 15pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" height="20" width="79">6月6日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">恒大绿洲rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">70#rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">232rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">232rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">88-95㎡
rder-bottom: black 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 142.5pt; border-: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl68" height="190" rowspan="8">新区rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" width="79">2月1日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">恒信绿地公馆rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">2#楼2单元rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">114rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">114rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">89-131㎡
rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; height: 15pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" height="20" width="79">3月15日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">绿都塞纳春天rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">6#楼1单元rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">248rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">124rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">101-140㎡
rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; height: 15pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" height="20" width="79">3月28日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">绿都塞纳春天rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">6#楼2单元rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">248rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">124rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">101-140㎡
rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; height: 23.25pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" height="31" width="79">4月11日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">银润 广场rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">——rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">356rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">356rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">140、210、240㎡
rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; height: 15pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" height="20" width="79">5月12日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">建业桂园rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">23#、25#rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">396rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">396rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">91-139
rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; height: 29.25pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" height="39" width="79">5月23日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">正大国际广场rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">1#、2#、3#楼rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">412rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">206rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">100-18㎡
rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; height: 15pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" height="20" width="79">6月25日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">盛世新天地rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">7#-11#rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">1158rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">1158rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">76-185㎡
rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; height: 15pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" height="20" width="79">6月27日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">保利建业·香槟国际rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">1#、2#、5#rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">504rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">504rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">86㎡-140㎡
rder-bottom: #f0f0f0; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; background-color: transparent; height: 15pt; border-: windowtext; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl68" height="20">经开区rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 59pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl69" width="79">3月15日rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="109">绿都悦府rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="83">5#rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="87">243rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl70" width="89">30rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: transparent; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl71" width="110">101-117㎡
rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: windowtext 1pt solid; background-color: #ddd9c3; height: 15pt; border-: windowtext 1pt solid; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl74" height="20">合计rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: #ddd9c3; width: 59pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl75" width="79">　rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: #ddd9c3; width: 82pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl76" width="109">23rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: #ddd9c3; width: 62pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl75" width="83">　rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: #ddd9c3; width: 65pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl77" width="87">　rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: #ddd9c3; width: 67pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl76" width="89">6431rder-bottom: windowtext 1pt solid; border-left: #f0f0f0; background-color: #ddd9c3; width: 83pt; border-: #f0f0f0; border-right: windowtext 1pt solid" class="xl75" width="110">　

数据来源：和利时地产机构市场部调研数据

据不完全统计，2015年全市开盘套数6431套，开盘次数约23次，主要集中在3月6次，5月6次，6月5次，从开盘区域分布来看，洛龙区开盘8次，高新区开盘4次，瀍河区开盘4次，西工区开盘3次，涧西区开盘3次，经开区开盘1次。洛龙区又一次卫冕成功。

据不完全统计，2015年全市开盘套数6431套，开盘次数约23次，主要集中在3月6次，5月6次，6月5次，从开盘区域分布来看，洛龙区开盘8次，高新区开盘4次，瀍河区开盘4次，西工区开盘3次，涧西区开盘3次，经开区开盘1次。洛龙区又一次卫冕成功。

2015年上半年很多都放缓了节奏，原计划说上半年要亮相开盘的都羞羞答答，步履踌躇。上半年，新开楼盘仅有美景九悦山、恒信绿地公馆、正商城、九都城、保利建业香槟国际、中弘 广场7个楼盘，其他均为源加推。

4、 项目一览

据不完全统计，2015年全市 项目共14次，其中 次数多的月份主要集中在5月间，共计7次，可见市场在经历了一系列的政策刺激和市场消化之后，楼市逐渐起底上扬，5、6月成为了今年名副其实的“银5金6”。

从 —开盘数据来看，上半年 项目次数比开盘项目次数少了9次，这主要是因为上半年市场延续着去年的下滑趋势，大多数项目采用多频次小体量开盘所致。

5、2015年1-6月洛阳房地产市场成交情况

2015年1-6月成交一览

2014年洛阳市市场成交兼商服用地共计17块，总成交面积1314亩，总成交金额为251282万元，成交191万元/亩，从以上图标里可以看出，“江山轮流做，轮流转”， 今年上半年洛龙区走出了金銮殿交出了龙椅，西工区成为了市场的主角占比达到了45%，高新区紧随其后达到34%，从以上两个区域成交的土地情况可以看出均是城中村，随着城市化建设步伐的加快，城中村的建设也是迫在眉睫，两区域中令市场关注的当属瞿家屯村改造地块和浅井头村改造地块，两个村均占据区域的核心区位，这两个村的建设将极大的改变区域市场的供应结构，同时将对区域市场产生较大的核心竞争力。

从历年综合数据图表上看，近几年市场均保持在相对平稳的状态，随然市场在一系列的政策调整之后，逐渐走出低谷，向好发展，但库存依然“鸭梨山大”， 因此开发商拿地仍保持谨慎的态度。

和利时观点：从基本趋势来看，1-6月整体供应分布平均，并没有呈现淡旺季的表现，从1-6月的基础供应来看，平均每月的供应量基本保持在35-40万㎡，供应量惊人的稳定，好像各大都约定好了一样，踩着点儿供应，这背后是否饱含着多少各楼盘对市场去化的无奈把控，我们不得而知。

从供应的分类来看，2015年洛阳市场受市场的供应放缓和开发企业的资金压力影响，各家将希望转嫁在非住宅产品上，因此前几月非住宅产品供应量与同期相比有较明显增加，释放点主要集中在住宅配套的车位、商铺等非住宅配套方面。

产品的供应状况看，市场主体依然以项目和房源去化为主，今年上半年亮相项目较少，分别是九都城、正商城、中弘 广场、保利建业香槟国际、东陌映像、和昌 城邦、汉德•九州城等，新盘主要集中在涧西和西工区域。随着楼市“中考”的结束，“及格”成为了中考的录取分数线，“良”成为了楼市的分水岭，保利建业香槟国际凭借自身的品牌形象和区位的 一入市便引来多方的关注，取得良好的成绩也是理所应当；中弘 广场以其独有的地缘 也取得了较满意的成绩；汉德•九州城以核心价值的区位 ，引得重卖家纷纷投怀送抱，所取得的佳绩也是情理之中；而和昌 城邦和正商城因地缘劣势的影响，成绩表现平平

从上半年市场供应的状况看，除了热热闹闹的房源的促销大战之外，相对投放和曝光较多的当属各区域的新品大盘的出现了，可以预判，随着市场渐入佳境，下半年这些新亮相的大盘或将集中发力，市场或将又一次迎来供应的高峰。

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